DPhil Supervision
I have supervised DPhil and MSC graduates for the last 21 years. I currently supervise DPhil projects looking at the role of AI in supporting the management of multiple long-term conditions (MLTC) and the identification of groups at high (health) risk due to extreme temperatures.
My primary research program focuses on managing multiple long-term conditions, the impact of extreme temperatures on health, meta-analysis methods, methodology for studying infectious diseases in children, and assessing complex interventions.
Research groups
Colleges
News, Media & BLOGS
Research groups
Rafael Perera
DPhil MSc MA
Director Medical Statistics and Director of Graduate Studies
- Professor of Medical Statistics
- Fellow at St Hugh's College
I am the Director of Graduate Studies in the Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences (NDPCHS), tasked with providing academic leadership, oversight, administration and advocacy for the department’s graduate students.
I am also the Director of the Statistics group (NDPCHS), and as part of this role, I am involved in multiple research activities within the department. However, my primary research interest is Monitoring for managing long-term conditions (e.g. Type 2 diabetes, hypertension, etc) individually or jointly (sometimes called multimorbidity).
I lead a large group of methodologists working across multiple clinical areas and have been PI of large Programmes of work and Theme lead for NIHR-funded infrastructure programmes (NIHR BRC, NIHR ARC, and NIHR MIC). I set up the NDPCHS fully accredited Clinical Trials Unit as its original Statistical Director.
I sit on various national and international panels and boards influencing healthcare policy at different levels (funding boards, steering groups, data monitoring boards, etc.) and have held multiple editorial positions. I am a Statistical Editor for the BMJ (since 2011) and BMJ Medicine (since 2022).
I am also the Director of Research Methodologies at the Centre for Evidence-Based Medicine (CEBM) and a fellow at St Hugh’s College Oxford.
Recent publications
Re-evaluating routinely collected clinical and laboratory parameters in the preoperative risk assessment of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: model development and internal validation.
Journal article
Hidalgo Salinas C. et al, (2026), Pancreatology
Outpatient hospital attendances in people with rheumatoid arthritis during the COVID-19 pandemic and beyond: a cohort study in three nations of the UK.
Journal article
Costello RE. et al, (2026), Rheumatology (Oxford), 65
Reported problems and responses during the conduct of stepped-wedge cluster randomized trials in healthcare settings: a qualitative systematic review.
Journal article
Taylor KS. et al, (2026), Int J Epidemiol, 55
Value-Based Commissioning of Mental Health Services in England: A Feasibility Study Using Multicriteria Decision Analysis.
Journal article
Gongora-Salazar P. et al, (2025), Value Health, 28, 1802 - 1810
Quantifying the health-care burden of temperature in the National Health Service in England: an economic analysis of resource use and costs.
Journal article
Fahr P. et al, (2025), Lancet Planet Health, 9
Current Grants
PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR
NIHR Programme grant for applied research: CoMPuTE: Complex Multimorbidity Phenotypes, Trends, and Endpoints. Start 01/06/2023, End: 31/05/2028.
co-applicant
NIHR Research and Innovation for Global Health Transformation A Novel Extreme Weather Risk Insurance System for Kenya (NEWRISK): Encouraging preparedness, planning, community co-design, and protection of Kenya’s health system from the effects of extreme weather. Start 01/01/2024, End: 31/12/2027
NIHR-Oxford Health NHS Foundation Trust-HRC. Start 01/04/2024, End 31/03/2029
MRC. UKRI Ageing Dev Research Award, Person-centred Integrated Care (PIC) Networks supporting Healthy Ageing in Place. Start 30/09/2023, End: 29/09/2025
NIHR Applied Research Collaboration. Start: 01/10/19, End: 30/09/24
